This is drawn from the results of the quarterly survey of JP Morgan Asset Management, claiming that the Spanish investor confidence continued its upward trend in April-June this year, which reached its highest level since the first quarter of 2008.
The national index was 1.27 points in the second quarter, compared with the score of 1.05 points obtained in the previous quarter, and with this increase the full two and a half years indicator rising trend, so the index consolidates thus a ” clear positive and bullish “trend in Spanish investor confidence.
The improved outlook is also reflected in the 31.9% of respondents predicted that it is likely or probable that stock markets rise in the next six months, which is 3.1 points higher than the previous quarter.
By contrast, 19.6% believe that fall, a similar sample harvested in the previous figure, and in this chapter men are more optimistic than women.
The positive view on the outlook for the markets comes from an average investor profile of 50.1 years, upper-class and upper middle, and lives in central and southern Spain; in addition, 40.9%, based their expectations of rises in the markets in which “there is an improvement in the current situation.”
More than half of the investors surveyed expected the European markets and the Spanish will be the biggest gains that will experience in the next six months, and highlight the favorable expectations on the Spanish stock exchange, since a third of respondents, 32.8% of the total, thought to be the most recorded increases.
In addition to climb to the top of the list, the figure represents 12.1 points more than in the previous quarter, and as for the European markets, one in four investors, 24.6%, estimated who will benefit most from the increases.
At the other end, only 6% of investors think that the Japanese market will be the best performing region in the next six months, eight tenths less confidence in emerging markets. In between these two blocks the other markets, Asia and the US, with 16.5% and 10.8%, respectively, of respondents are located.
INCREASING OPTIMISM ON GROWTH Over a quarter of respondents, 26.1%, is beginning to see the first signs of economic recovery, the highest level of the series and 3.4 points over the previous quarter.
It is also the maximum level of which rely on an improvement in employment in the next six months, 33.5%, representing an increase of 8.9 points over the previous quarter.
third record of the survey is produced on the situation of the financial sector, as two out of three respondents, 68.8%, believes that, overall, Spanish banks are in a good state of solvency.
However, 22.4% of respondents think that GDP will drop in the next six months, the lowest level since the sample is performed, and continues at a high level the percentage of investors who defers output crisis in three or more years, 69.7%.
communities communities and castellanoleoneses Basques are the most optimistic, while Catalonia and Valencia provide the lowest values of autonomy consulted.
So, the level of confidence returns to positive figures in all regions with significant results and is situated on top of the series at all except in the Valencia crop Aragon –only a reversal of their data, even this community remains clearly positive figures.
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