MEXICO CITY, Mexico, jun. 23, 2016.- The referendum by which UK citizens will decide whether or not they stay in the European Union has made dance world markets for several weeks. It is above all, for fear that voters decide to leave the European bloc nations.
Although polls suggest will win a majority by Bremain, the market analysts prefer to stay ahead and anticipate how they could move markets since the results are known, if the option is for the Brexit.
falling
the pound. Sterling has been the main concern of investors if the Brexit happen. Some analysts suggest that leaving the EU could bring the rate up to 25% lower; British Treasury says it will only be 12 percent
Oil. Oil could take the bitter pill, as investor confidence deteriorates first when it comes to risky assets such as raw material, as well that the dollar will be more expensive. Opting for Brexit could weaken global demand for oil consumption
Copper. Another riskier assets. This industrial metal is considered a barometer of global economic health, and surely suffer a new impact when confidence deteriorates if the British decide to leave the European Union
European shares. The damage will depend on whether the investors believe that the example of Britain leaving the European Union will spread to other countries. Goldman Sachs expects the Euro Stoxx 50 may fall to 15% and UBS sees the possibility of a fall of up to 23%
FTSE 250. More than half of the revenue of this stock index is generated the United Kingdom. The analysis of Goldman Sachs suggested that the coup could be between 15 and 20 percent
Real estates in UK. The prices of real estate, houses, homes, offices, fall according to specialists . Real estate brokers expect prices to fall for the first time since 2012
growing
The yen and Swiss franc. Both currencies generally earn in times of uncertainty in the market and some analysts predict that the yen will skyrocket even more than the Swiss franc
the government bonds: A traditional haven for some investors;. the price of government bonds of Germany, the United States and other developed countries will rise. In early June, the anxiety provoked the possibility of Brexit boosted performance of German bunds
Gold. Another asset that is traditional safe haven, gold probably will benefit, because investors have more aversion risk. According to Capital Economics, the precious metal could be increased up to 10% if Brexit
Utilities. Is also perceived as a safe haven asset, shares and bonds of utilities They will be driven by Brexit.
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