The aviation business is growing. In fact, Airbus predicts that in the next 20 years, passenger traffic increased by 4.5% on average, with 33,000 new airplanes will be needed. According to Boeing, that number will be even greater, 39,620. Seen from the radars, the sky will look like a hornet’s nest. But how many aircraft operate today in the world?
Currently 19,583 aircraft over a hundred passengers are counted, according to the report data Airbus Global Market Forecast for 2016-2035, presented these days at the Farnborough Airshow, held from 11 to 17 July held in Hampshire, England. According to the report, at the end of 2025 there will be 39,819, of which 33,074 will be newly built.
Aerial Megacities
According to experts of both companies this growth is driven by urbanization and increasing wealth in emerging economies, by the enormous economic boost from the Asia-Pacific region and also by the growing power of the airlines. In this context, air megacities, where there is more traffic, increase from the current 55 to 93 in 2035.
And the Asia-Pacific clearly leads this economic movement. By region, the report said Boeing aircraft demand over the next two decades will be distributed as follows: Asia with 15,130 aircraft, North America with 8,330 aircraft, Europe with 7,570 aircraft, Middle East with 3,310 aircraft, Latin America with 2,960 aircraft Africa with 1,150 aircraft and CIS countries with 1,170 aircraft.
the single-aisle aircraft now account for 76% of the portfolio worldwide and is expected to need 28,140 new. Aircraft twin-aisle or widebody, will have less demand and is estimated to need 9,100 new gradually will be replaced by small or medium-sized aircraft.
A 40% growth of passenger aircraft will be for replace and the rest will be growth. Regarding the freight traffic demand will be much lower compared with about 930 new and 1,440 converted.
The increase in air traffic until 2035 will be 70% on the existing network, and the rest in new routes.
No comments:
Post a Comment